Charlie Manuel frequently makes poor strategic decisions. The 11-million dollar scoreboard in left field would probably do a similar job. We guarantee a post analyzing Manuel's decisions for every Phillies game. Please click on our aliases below to email us.
Sunday, May 13, 2012
The Phils fell victim to the sacrifice bunt yet again last night, handing the San Diego Padres a free out after Jimmy Rollins' leadoff single in the bottom of the 9th with the score 2-1. The next two batters were retired, and the game was over.
The chances of scoring at least one run when you have a man on first and nobody out is 44%. When you have a man on second and one out, the chances of scoring at least 1 run is 41%. So, even if you're successful 100% of the times on sac bunts, it's still a terrible decision. Once you factor in the possibilities of striking out/bunting into a double play, it's even more obvious that a sac bunt is detrimental to your team.
Placido Polanco was the player Manuel chose to lay down the bunt -- he was batting second in the lineup. If you feel that your best chance of winning the game involves your 2-hitter intentionally making an out, then he should not be batting second (something we've been saying here all season).
Manuel manages inefficiently yet again, and the Phillies continue to lose.