Charlie Manuel frequently makes poor strategic decisions. The 11-million dollar scoreboard in left field would probably do a similar job. We guarantee a post analyzing Manuel's decisions for every Phillies game. Please click on our aliases below to email us.

Blog Archive

95% Phillies, 4% Eagles/Flyers/Sixers/Big Five, 1% Nonsense .... Contact us: Scott Graham ~ Andy Musser

Monday, July 19, 2010

Game 92: Manuel forfeits a game while he's winning (48-44)

There's really only one thing to talk about tonight. The Phils lost 8-4 to the Cards. Not surprising.

What is surprising, however, is that Kyle Kendrick gave up 5 runs in the 5th inning, yet he wasn't even the worst Phillie of the inning. That award goes to Charlie Manuel, who, with the score at 4-3 Phils, allowed Kendrick to pitch to Albert Pujols with a runner on second and one out. He had already doubled off Kendrick in the game. The run frequency chart technically says you are more likely to allow zero runs with just one runner on second base (59%) than if it's first and second (57), but the difference is so slight that I'd be willing to bet that the numbers reverse when that second runner is intentionally walked. Regardless, when the batter is Albert Pujols, that 2-percent difference goes out the goddamned window. Walk the dude and hope for a double play. If you can't get Colby Rasmus out, you probably weren't going to get Pujols.

Pujols homered on the second pitch.

With the Phils' ace inexplicably not pitching this series and Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright still looming for the Cards, do not be surprised at a 4-game sweep.

Tomorrow Jamie Moyer faces RHP Chris Carpenter at 8:15 pm.

No comments: