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Tuesday, October 27, 2009

NLCS Review: Phillies demolish Dodgers

The Phils defeated the Dodgers in the NLCS for the second consecutive year, and they move on to face the favored New York Yankees. There is rain in the forecast for tomorrow's game 1, so I will delay the World Series breakdown for as long as I can. In theory, a rain-out in game 1 should help the Phillies, because CC Sabathia would probably be unable to pitch three times in the series. Also, the Phillies have a deeper starting rotation. But I digress. Let's look at the Dodgers' predictions:

GAME 1

Predicted score: Dodgers 3, Phillies 2
Actual score: Phillies 8, Dodgers 6

Way off on this one. I thought Clayton Kershaw would pitch well, which he did until he imploded in the 5th inning. I thought Cole Hamels would pitch well, which he did until Jimmy Rollins ruined a routine double play. However, I did state that the Phils had a decent chance to sweep if they took game 1, and they were 6 outs away from doing so.

GAME 2

Predicted score: Phillies 6, Dodgers 3
Actual score: Dodgers 2, Phillies 1

Pedro Martinez was incredible in this game, while Vicente Padilla pitched way too well for a pitcher of his talent. The Phils nearly pulled off a 1-0 victory, but their defense and bullpen let them down in the 8th inning. Another poor prediction on my part.

GAME 3

Predicted score: Phillies 3, Dodgers 1
Actual score: Phillies 11, Dodgers 0

I was 8 runs off on the Phils' number, but I just missed the Dodgers'. I'm chalking this one up as a W.

GAME 4

Predicted score: Dodgers 5, Phillies 4
Actual score: Phillies 5, Dodgers 4

This was perhaps the most exciting game in Phillies history. I may have gotten the winner wrong, but I did write "this game is essentially a coin-flip."

GAME 5

Predicted score: Phillies 4, Dodgers 1
Actual score: Phillies 10, Dodgers 4

The Dodgers pitched Padilla instead of Kershaw. Had I known Padilla would pitch again, I would have had more runs for the Phils. But Hamels keeps pitching poorly, so there's really no way to know what's coming in his next start.


There's really no use predicting baseball games, but I have nothing better to do, so be prepared for another round of predictions tomorrow. I did poorly in this series, but I did say Phils in 6 and they took it in 5. The Phils are facing a much better team than the past two opponents, but they disposed of each of those teams with only one loss, and both losses were by one run. This is a World Series matchup for the ages. I really don't care at all about predictions at this point -- all I want to see is a dead quiet Yankee Stadium at about 11:00 on Thursday night.

Also, Charlie Manuel managed almost perfectly this series. He did poorly in game 2 of the NLDS (Feliz over Ruiz looks even worse now), but his bullpen management has been excellent. Keep it up, Mr. Manager.

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