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Sunday, July 19, 2009

Roy Halladay

I was doing pretty well psychologically all week with regards to the Phillies pursuit of Roy Halladay. For the first half of the week every caller on every WIP show was saying, put all your eggs in one basket and get Halladay. For the last day, however, callers have been sharing their doubts about getting one of the best pitchers in major league baseball. The Phillies should get Roy Halladay.

1) "You shouldn't mortage the future."

This is ridiculous. While certain Phillies prospects are receiving very high praises, they are indeed just prospects. Is everyone familiar with Gavin Floyd? Andy Ashby? These are two of the highly tauted Phillies prospects of yester-year. They were absolutely terrible when they made it to the majors.

People will invariably say, "well, how about Utley, Howard, Hamels, and Rollins?" My response. How about those three and Burrell, Madson, and Rolen? My point is this. There are numerous example of top prospects that don't follow through. Brett Myers is another example. He is average at the major league level.

Also, let's just say Michael Taylor and Kyle Drabek do reach their full potential. They become the Chase Utleys and Cole Hamels of the world. They make it big in the majors in... 3 years? At this time, who is to say that Chase Utley, Ryan Howard, Jimmy Rollins, Shane Victorino, Jayson Werth, Cole Hamels, Ryan Madson, and Raul Ibanez are still around or effective? RIGHT NOW, the core of this team is in their prime. RIGHT NOW, this team is poised to win another championship (remember should the Phillies get Halladay, he is under contract through 2010). To sound corny and cliche, the future is now.

2) "There are no guarantees in baseball."

Well, Roy Halladay is as close as you can get to a guarantee. He is easily one of the top 5 pitchers in major league baseball. People say, well he's getting old, and he might be prone to injuries. Almost every unknown that someone can bring up can be applied across the board to any player whether he is a current major leaguer, prospect, or whatever. Injuries, clubhouse disruption, etc. The only question anyone can have is how successful a player will be for this team. Roy Halladay has been a consistently great pitcher/ injury free player at the major league level. He has been in the AL East his entire career, filled with some very powerful offenses (BOS, NYY, TBR).

The only question is how the prospects will develop in the majors. Roy Halladay is not a question. Acquiring Roy Halladay puts this team lightyears ahead of any other team in the NL to reach the World Series. Any Phillie can get injured at any time which could cause their expectations to decrease, but getting Roy Halladay is giving your team its best chance to win. With the EXPLOSIVE offense, and solid pitching staff, Roy Halladay makes Cole Hamels a number 2 starter.

3) "So the Phillies should have traded Utley for Hudson"?

Well I'm certainly glad they didn't do this, but as Rob Ellis or Rob Charry (I forget who was the host at the time today) said it best, "Tim Hudson can't hold Roy Halladay's jock". Also, I truly doubt these prospects will equate to Utley. Also, do you think the Red Sox are upset with trading Hanley Ramirez for Josh Beckett and 2 World Series titles? I don't think so.

With all this said, Michael Taylor and Kyle Drabek's numbers in AA are pretty damn good. The scouts' hopes seem to be justified. J.A. Happ is doing extremely well in the majors. All of their statistics are pretty small sample sizes, but at this point they all seem to be the real deal. If it were up to me, I would make this deal. Ideally though, I would do my best to avoid including J.A. Happ and Kyle Drabek in the same deal. If the Phillies rotation were Halladay, Hamels, Happ, Blanton, and Moyer/Pedro, this team would be very elite. At the worst, if next year (hopefully) the rotation were Halladay, Hamels, Blanton, Drabek, whoever, that's pretty good too.

I really like J.A. Happ, and I would like to think our prospects will pan out, but who knows. Roy Halladay improves this team by leaps and bounds. Wouldn't it be great to rush broad street again? Halladay doesn't guarantee this, but it's pretty damn close.

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