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95% Phillies, 4% Eagles/Flyers/Sixers/Big Five, 1% Nonsense .... Contact us: Scott Graham ~ Andy Musser

Wednesday, May 13, 2009

Game 31: Moyer's struggles continue (16-15)

Jamie Moyer was great last season for the Phillies; however, this season he has been anything besides that. Tonight, the Dodgers lit him up for 7 runs in 4 1/3 innings. Even before tonight's outing, Moyer owned a 7.26 ERA.

Is his career coming to a close, or is Moyer simply off to a bad start? It's tough to say now, but it would be very remarkable if Moyer finishes this year AND next year in the same manner as he pitched last year (his 2008 WHIP was a very respectable 1.32). Moyer will eventually run out of gas: remember, the Phillies acquired him off the waiver wire in August 2006.

You may remember that Mr. Graham and I were not at all thrilled with the contract Moyer signed in this past offseason. In December, we explained that signing a 46-year-old to a 2-year deal is very risky, especially when his past two seasons had an average of a 1.38 WHIP (decent, but one can only expect his numbers to decline with age - especially in Moyer's case).

Charlie Manuel had no mistakes tonight: I like that he went to Taschner and Condrey to combine for 4 innings after the Dodgers took a 6-run lead. This is exactly how Taschner should be used; not when you're trying to hold a 1-run lead late in the game.

Ruben Amaro, on the other hand, grossly overpaid for Moyer in December, but because of the World Series' honeymoon, only CharliesManuel decided to question the move (from the December commentary on the Moyer signing: "I wouldn't be surprised if he doesn't make it to June 2009."). I highly doubt Moyer will completely flame out this season, but I feel it's unreasonable to expect a 2008-performance from him this year and/or next. If Moyer goes the route of Kyle Kendrick, 2009 will be a long year for the Phillies.

Tomorrow the Phillies try to take 2 out of 3 from the Dodgers in a 1:05 pm Businessman's Special: LHP Cole Hamels faces RHP Chad Billingsley.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

not really backed by any stats whatsoever but still something to consider... how often does it seem that a pitcher struggles when on the verge of a milestone win (moyer is gunning for 250). one example from recent memory i think was maddux going for his 300 took a couple shaky starts before he finally got it