Charlie Manuel frequently makes poor strategic decisions. The 11-million dollar scoreboard in left field would probably do a similar job. We guarantee a post analyzing Manuel's decisions for every Phillies game. Please click on our aliases below to email us.

Blog Archive

95% Phillies, 4% Eagles/Flyers/Sixers/Big Five, 1% Nonsense .... Contact us: Scott Graham ~ Andy Musser

Friday, April 10, 2009

The advantage of pushing Hamels back: he's facing Jason Marquis

Cole Hamels pitches today. That's exciting.

However, usually, the first game of the season that your "ace" pitches is Opening Day. That means he usually faces the opposing team's ace, and your chances of winning are not that good.

It seems as if the Phillies may have unintentionally (or not, depending on their complete reasoning for pushing him back 3 games) found an inefficiency: Hamels makes the Phillies a heavy favorite today, simply because he's pitching against the 4th starter of the Colorado Rockies. Jason Marquis posted a WHIP of 1.45 last year, and over the last three seasons, lefties have an OPS of .799 against him. Those are good numbers for the Phils.

The Phillies should win today.

1 comment:

Andy Musser said...

Too bad this argument has been torn to shreds, because I didn't account for Hamels' apparent arm problems.