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Monday, January 5, 2009

Player Analysis: #12 Matt Stairs OF

Overall Season Numbers (AVG/OBP/SLG) & wOBA- .252/.341/.409 & .319
Overall Career Numbers (AVG/OBP/SLG) & wOBA- .266/.358/.483 & .364

Stairs joined the Phillies in September of 2008, and in his short, extremely small sample size of time spent here, Stairs's numbers were pretty good. He had 2 HRs in 19 PAs, and most memorably, he hit a bombsky that I will never forget. A moon shot that I partially called as he approached the plate. My exact thoughts were, "Stairs is a dead fastball power hitter facing a straight hard thrower in Broxton. He has a really good shot at hitting one out." This wasn't as impressive as Mr. Musser's calling the exact pitch where he would hit the home run. I wasn't with him, but I certainly believe that in a 3-1 count with a player who "tries to hit a home run everytime he swings the bat" my esteemed colleague could definitely pull something like that off. I also greatly appreciated Stairs's postgame comment that "you're coming into the dugout (pronounced dug-oat) and getting your ass HAMMERED by guys. There's no better feeling than to have that done."

Stairs will soon be 41 years old, and it's safe to say his career is almost over. Most people you come across would probably tell you that stairs was an average MLB bench player. However, what most people don't know is that when given the opportunity (2 seasons with 500 + ABs), Stairs had 26 and 38 HRs. He was also known to get plenty of walks, and has a career OPS+ of 118. For what it's worth, and I know Mr. Musser and I take this very seriously, Bill James (famous sabermatrician) and others believe that:
Stairs is probably a far more talented hitter than his career stats suggest. Stairs didn't have 500 plate appearances until age 29, at which point he recorded 100 RBI seasons and an adjusted OPS of over 130 two years in a row- and never saw 500 at-bats again. James contends, "You put him in the right park, right position early in his career ... he's going to hit a LOT of bombs." Possibly, Posnanski contends, enough to be worthy of Hall of Fame consideration.
This was sited on Matt Stairs wikipedia page. I truly hope and believe that Matt Stairs will be back next season if for no other reason than his Canadian accent and possibly funny quotes. Oh yea, he can hit the hell out of a ball too.

Next up: #19 Greg Dobbs 3B/PH

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