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Saturday, September 13, 2008

Late night, early morning musings

For what it's worth (note: it's not worth much):

I don't think today's postponement or Sunday's subsequent double-header will have any negative impact on the Phillies pitching staff. In fact, it may help Cole Hamels slightly. Hamels was hit around last Sunday at Shea Stadium after the Mets had seen a lefty starter earlier that day in Jamie Moyer. The fact that the Mets saw a lefty right before facing Hamels is an advantage to New York's lineup: they're used to picking the ball up from the lefty arm slot. The same logic could be applied to the Brewers, a heavily right-handed hitting team. Moyer pitched very well in his start Thursday night. Hamels was scheduled to go Friday, so I was worried the Brewers would be slightly more likely to hit Hamels successfully due to their facing a lefty no more than 24 hours ago. But, since there's a rain-out, the 24 hours becomes 45. That's 21 more hours for the Brewers' muscle memory against lefties to fade.

Also, and more importantly, Hamels gets one more day of rest. Rich Dubee has been stressing that Hamels needs an extra day of rest every 3 or 4 starts, so it's good he'll get one here.

From a Brewers' pitching standpoint, the rainout could work against the Phillies. Let's say the Phillies win Saturday and the first game Sunday. Milwaukee will be 1 game ahead of the Phillies and CBP will be rocking Sunday night. C.C. Sabathia, whom the Brewers are not afraid to overuse, will be on 3 days rest with Jeff Suppan scheduled for the night-cap on Sunday. It will prove more than tempting for Milwaukee to move Sabathia up to pitch Sunday night. The reason why the rainout impacts this possibility: The final game of the series was scheduled for Sunday 1:35 PM. Sabathia, who pitched an afternoon game Wednesday, now has an extra 6 hours rest due to the rainout's pushing the final game back to 7:35 PM. Yes, this entire paragraph was about an extra 360 minutes for Sabathia's arm to rest. We need a game. Soon.

Look for a big start from Hamels tomorrow. Methinks hethinks the extra day of rest will benefit him greatly, and he will subsequently pitch with a better, more positive frame of mind tonight.

1 comment:

Andy Musser said...

"Hamels was scheduled to go Friday, so I was worried the Brewers would be slightly more likely to hit Hamels successfully due to their facing a lefty no more than 24 hours ago"

I beg to differ. Happy Gilmore accomplished that feet no more than an hour ago.