Charlie Manuel frequently makes poor strategic decisions. The 11-million dollar scoreboard in left field would probably do a similar job. We guarantee a post analyzing Manuel's decisions for every Phillies game. Please click on our aliases below to email us.

Blog Archive

95% Phillies, 4% Eagles/Flyers/Sixers/Big Five, 1% Nonsense .... Contact us: Scott Graham ~ Andy Musser

Wednesday, September 10, 2008

Game 146: Manuel's 5-step, surefire way to blow a game (79-67)

Before I get going, I would like to mention that Manuel failed to employ the LRL to break up Utley and Howard again today, which played into the Marlins game plan late in the game.

It all started in the bottom of the 7th inning.

1) Manuel lets Myers bat- At this point in the game, Myers has 104 pitches with the meat of the Marlins order (2,3,4 hitters L,R,L by the way) due up in the 8th. Their second hitter Luis Gonzalez has already homered off of Myers. The score is tied 3-3, the Phillies need some runs. Why not let someone, say Jenkins, go up there trying to just mash a ball out of the ballpark. Yes, Myers had a double already today, but lightning only strikes once today.

He comes into the 8th and gives up a leadoff single to Gonzo (no surprise here). Myers then strikes out Uggla. Myers is now up to 116 pitches.

2) Manuel lets Myers face Jacobs, a power hitting lefty- The ball was hit right where everyone watching on television assumed Utley would be playing. You know, double play position, the normal place a player would play.

3) Manuel positions (Or agreed with Jimy Williams's) Utley and Howard close enough to hold hands- The camera shows Utley barely coming into the picture while the ball goes into right center field. Everyone (except Manuel, who planned on this happening) is shocked that the Phillies aren't out of the inning.

4) Manuel, now having seen enough, brings in a reliever that isn't Brad Lidge- It is now 1st and 3rd with 1 out. The phillies desperately need a double play ball, or a strikeout. Brad Lidge is your man. This is an extremely high-leverage situation that really could use the teams best reliever. Apparently Lidge was more important last night, down 2 runs, but not here where we were actually really in the game at the time (I do not disagree with his use last night. It shows Charlie's understanding that he needs to keep the game close to give the team a chance). Durbin, who has been struggling recently, gives up a run and the Phillies now trail 4-3. To the 9th.

5) Manuel brings in Romero to face a lefty (not really) and a righty (probably our most broached topic)- Everyone in the stadium should have expected that once Manuel brought in Romero, Gonzalez would counter with Cody Ross. I mean it only makes sense, Ross has homered twice this series against lefties (one of them? Romero). What happened? Ross flied out to right. He now faces Dan Uggla, who is absolutely embarassing against lefties. In 140 PAs vs lefties this year, he is hitting .185/.300/.319. However, even Dan Uggla feasts on JCR and smoked a two run double to left center field. This absolutely seals the team's fate today.

It's getting really ridiculous how many times we've talked about Romero vs. righties this year. I mean you think Manuel would have eventually picked up on this. He is still letting righties reach base at a .442 clip while slugging .460. JCR has a .167 wOBA vs. LHBs. Romero's wOBA vs. righties? .380. That's absolutely ridiculous. Unacceptable that he's allowed to face ANY right-handed hitter let alone the good ones. By definition, Jansas is a LOOGY (left-handed one out guy). The Book, states quite emphatically:

"The ideal left-handed relief specialist (LOOGY) is a pitcher who is significantly above average (wOBA of .300 or lower) against lefties and about average against righties. If a left-handed reliever is ineffective against right-handed hitters, he should only be allowed to face left-handed hitters, as much as possible."

It seems almost as if this section was written specifically about JCR. Unfortunately, Charlie can't even come to a rough estimate of this logic.

Keep it up Charlie, it's clearly working.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

I think LOOGY was invented for Dan Plesac.

Who had more appearances for the phillies than innings pitched.